Arkansas Lottery Behind the Numbers

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Reported by: Cecillea Pond-Mayo, KARK 4 News

The Arkansas Lottery Commission approved 3 new games to begin early 2010. They include Cash 4, MegaMillions, and an instant win add-on to draw games.

So what does this mean. Well along with the Cash 3 (pick three numbers, should be a daily game) we are going to get a Cash 4 (pick four numbers, again should be daily), Mega Millions (Like Powerball with better odds, say the odds of an ice cube in hell rather than the odds of a snow cone in hell), and an instant win add-on to draw games (actually kind of a neat idea, I saw it last summer in New York if it is what I am thinking of. When you buy a Cash 3 ticket for example, if you buy the instant win booster then the machine prints out a quickie game piece right on your ticket for the possibility of an instant win). Do not know the odds of those add ons yet, but I have applauded the transparency of the Arkansas Lottery so far in such matters, so when they post the odds I will analyze them for you.

NEW SCRATCHERS are already coming in on December 1st. (yep, that soon!) From what I can cull so far they are...

MONEY MANIA (unknown dollar amount, unknown top prize) Looks to be another premium card however.
WILD CHERRY DOUBLER (unknown dollar amount and prize)
ALL THE MONEY (unknown dollar amount and prize) presumably not "All The Money" however.
BEAT THE DEALER (Looks to be a $1 card, unknown prize) I have a soft spot in my heart for all poker based cards, we'll see what the numbers look like!

Odds Should be released on November 27th, so take a break from Black Friday shopping and check out my recommendations!

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BEHIND THE NUMBERS, SCRATCHER STATUS

What I am looking at 11.16.09

						Prize Average			API (AvgPzIdx)				Prizes Remaining						Prize Levels
R	#			Odds	EV	Start	Current	$ Given	w/top		wo/top		% Remain	Top	High		Low		Bronze	Silver	Gold	Platinum
1	001	$1	3 Times Lucky	4.8	59.6%	$2.85	$2.78	$7,269,074	(0.064)	11	(0.066)	10	48.47%	53.6%	49.5%	1.1%	45.5%	-3.0%	5.08	87.30	11896.2	118173
2	005	$1	Money Bags	4.63	59.0%	$2.71	$2.69	$1,819,685	(0.023)	7	(0.024)	7	74.98%	77.8%	75.5%	0.5%	71.0%	-4.0%	5.08	108.21	11075.8	112414
3	011	$1	Candy Cane Cash	4.51	61.0%	$2.74	$2.73	$221,409	(0.013)	6	(0.014)	4	91.97%	100.0%	93.8%	1.8%	89.5%	-2.4%	4.76	97.88	754.64	15613.27
1	002	$2	Arkansas Riches	4	63.3%	$4.98	$4.87	$5,598,192	(0.089)	12	(0.110)	12	45.10%	55.6%	48.4%	3.3%	41.9%	-3.2%	4.29	80.05	264.4	2557
1	003	$2	Jumbo Bucks	4.08	65.0%	$5.15	$5.10	$8,677,227	(0.037)	10	(0.051)	9	54.46%	59.1%	55.0%	0.5%	52.4%	-2.0%	4.29	138.19	250.5	1808
2	007	$2	Money Madness	4.32	62.4%	$5.22	$5.19	$1,532,686	(0.024)	9	(0.035)	8	78.14%	83.3%	80.2%	2.1%	75.6%	-2.5%	4.54	47.92	333.1	1209
2	006	$2	Crazy 8's	3.96	62.7%	$4.83	$4.81	$2,150,888	(0.007)	5	(0.019)	5	79.52%	86.7%	80.3%	0.8%	78.7%	-0.8%	4.41	39.28	2486.3	12909
3	009	$2	Stocking Stuffer	3.94	64.7%	$4.98	$4.97	$258,322	(0.023)	8	(0.010)	3	93.83%	83.3%	94.6%	0.8%	93.0%	-0.8%	4.17	91.34	353.26	11492.34
3	010	$3	$50,000 Holiday Cash	3.90	66.1%	$7.43	$7.40	$465,927	0.023	2	(0.020)	6	87.55%	100.0%	93.8%	6.2%	86.7%	-0.9%	4.77	23.69	239.60	4624.22
1	004	$5	$100,000 Cash Bonanza	3.28	68.8%	$10.92	$10.82	$9,597,560	0.019	3	(0.101)	11	49.78%	66.7%	50.3%	0.5%	48.3%	-1.5%	4.30	18.24	67.3	350
2	008	$5	$uper 7s	3.24	68.3%	$10.80	$10.79	$3,313,472	(0.003)	4	(0.010)	1	64.98%	66.7%	76.1%	11.1%	64.0%	-1.0%	4.28	17.77	54.0	4353
3	012	$10	$500,000 Jackpot	3.28	71.8%	$21.99	$21.98	$886,785	0.058	1	(0.010)	2	95.83%	100.0%	100.0%	4.2%	95.5%	-0.3%	10.01	7.51	14.54	319.27